Marketing Newsletter
July/August 2006
Industry Insights
Copernican Exploration  
Discovery of the Month
What We're Reading Now
Coming Attractions
Industry Insights

Chief Marketing Officer:
The Most Difficult Job in America


"If you're a new chief marketing officer, you probably don't have time to read this," began a recent Advertising Age article reporting the results of the 2006 survey of chief marketing officer (CMO) tenure from global executive search firm Spencer Stuart. The company discovered that the average tenure of a CMO at the top 100 branded firms has consistently declined since it began studying the subject in 2004. "The 23.6 we saw in year one [of the study], we thought was going to be a fluke," explained Spencer Stuart's CMO practice leader Greg Welch. "This year, we were a bit surprised to see it take a dip." CMO tenure has gone from 23.6 months in 2004, to 23.5 months in 2005, to 23.2 months in 2006. Considering that the average tenure of a CEO is 7.9 years, the CIO is 3 years, and even the CFO—what Forbes Magazine has labeled "the worst job in America" because the position bears the brunt of shareholder and Wall Street frustrations—is higher at 30 months, 23.2 months stands out as an especially short period of time.

Many have offered various explanations for why CMOs rarely celebrate a second anniversary at a company. Ad Age reckons the changing media landscape and poor access to CEOs are the leading causes of job insecurity. Businessweek's marketing editor David Kiley went even further, writing in his blog"Brand New Day," "part of the problem with the CMO position is that some companies have created the title out of a sense of fashion. Creating the title all by itself communicates to the world, goes the theory, that you are a company serious about marketing. Talk and titles are cheap, though. Until the CMO job is viewed as a legitimate road to the CEO's office, it will be a step-child position," and one with a revolving door.

Certainly, the level of importance an organization puts on marketing as reflected in CEO access and growth opportunities in upper management has an immense impact on the ability of the CMO to do his or her job effectively. In a recent study of marketing executives at American companies, Copernicus and Brandweek found some evidence to support the contention that many companies have stacked the deck against CMOs. As part of the survey, 250+ marketers with 7+ years of experience from a cross-section of industries were asked a series of questions to gauge their attitudes and opinions about the role of marketing versus sales in their respective organizations. About half of the marketers in the study reported that, by and large, their organizations are sales-oriented rather than marketing-oriented, just under a third say they are the opposite, with the rest neither more sales- nor marketing-oriented. Between sales and marketing, half say more CEOs come from sales and over a third also reported that sales people get more respect than the marketing folks in their respective organizations.

Summary Table
Marketer's Perceptions of Organization's Attitudes Towards Marketing

% Who Strongly/
Somewhat Agree
With Statement
Between just marketing and sales, I would say that more CEOs come from sales than from marketing.
51%
There are sales-oriented companies and marketing-oriented companies. Ours is a sales-oriented company.
49%
Sales people are respected in our organizations more than marketing people.
41%
There are sales-oriented companies and marketing-oriented companies. Ours is a marketing-oriented company.
31%

Source: Copernicus and Brandweek Study of American Marketers

What these results tell us is that if you are a new chief marketing officer coming into a company, there's a pretty good chance that you're inheriting a marketing organization suffering from serious feelings of anomie. If these feelings are the result of general organizational attitudes about what it is you do for a living, you're at an even bigger disadvantage. Add-in the typical brand issues of encroaching competition, category commoditization, and flailing advertising, and 23.2 months starts sounding like an unbelievably long time to be in a job with these headaches.

Still, our research uncovered a far more troubling issue with serious implications for CMO longevity. Less than 50% said that within their organization there's general recognition that marketing drives sales and a third of marketers indicated that the sales function in their companies, not marketing, was most responsible for annual growth. Now these are senior level marketers—directors, VPs, SVPs, EVPs, CMOs, and presidents—the very people who should know better than anyone else that marketing is the only business discipline charged with getting and keeping customers, thereby generating increased sales and growth. They are most predisposed to be pro-marketing in the responses to these questions, so the fact that not even half say that there's a belief that marketing drives sales at their companies and a third still believe that the sales department is responsible for growth rattles us. This would be like asking all the doctors in a hospital if the practice of medicine makes people feel better or if the accounting department heals the sick and getting similar answers. If the very people charged with dispensing marketing at a company don't themselves believe in the critical nature of what they are doing, is it any wonder they might be considered dispensable?

If a CMO doesn't think that marketing drives sales or is the engine of growth at their firms, he or she will have a hard time, to say the least, changing the very organizational attitudes that contribute to high turnover in marketing's top ranks.

Summary Table
Marketers Perceptions of Role of Marketing

% Who Strongly/
Somewhat Agree
With Statement
There's a general recognition in this organization that marketing drives sales.
48%
The sales function in our organization, rather than marketing, is most responsible for our annual growth.
33%

Source: Copernicus and Brandweek Study of American Marketers

 

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Copernican Exploration
 

The Times They Are a Changin':
A Longitudinal Analysis of Attitudes Towards Contoversial Social Issues


Race relations, women in society, gay rights, government spending, extra-marital sex, the legalization of marijuana—these are some of the most controversial subject areas that have spurred both public and private debate for decades. Whether hashed out in the political or social arena, Americans have discussed the societal impact of, for example, interracial marriage, women in the workforce, and gays teaching in public schools, taking sometimes staunch positions on these different social issues. Yet while the subject matter has endured, we wondered if and how opinions may have changed as time has gone by.

We compared data from the University of Chicago's National Opinion Research Center's General Social Survey of Americans 18-years and older in 1972, 1987, 2002. Each year, in addition to collecting general demographic (i.e., age, number of years of education, etc.) and behavioral information (i.e., the number of times you read a newspaper each week, the number of hours a day you watch TV, etc.), the survey asked a national probability sample of approximately 1500-2000 people about their attitudes on a variety of issues

We discovered that American opinions on many of the social issues of the day have become more liberal over time. Age-old biases about race, gender, and sexual orientation are on the wane, at least on paper. In 1972, for instance, 71% of the population agreed with the statement, "Blacks should not push themselves where they are not wanted," but by 2002, the number had dropped dramatically to 38%. Making a female presidential candidate appear more likely, the number of Americans who agree that "women are not as well-suited for politics as men," dropped from about half the population to a little under a quarter (48% in 1972 vs. 23% in 2002) during the same time period. A majority of Americans believed freedom of speech should be limited for gays in 1972, but thirty years later it has become a minority view (59% vs. 29%).

Attitudes about government spending on different areas have also changed in some interesting directions. Even with the triumph of the first lunar landing just three years prior, 62% of Americans said the government should spend less on the space program in 1972. With the Challenger disaster occurring only the year prior, we would have expected to see a similar response fifteen years later in 1987, but instead only 39% wanted to spend less on the space program, and in 2002, 38% said the government should spend less. If politicians wonder if Americans want further cuts to welfare these days, the number looking to spend less has dropped dramatically from 50% in 1972 to 25% in 1987, and to 23% in 2002. Perhaps because problems such as poverty, drugs and violence, and public corruption have spread from urban centers into suburban and even rural areas over the course of the last three decades, support for spending less on "big city" problems has increased, from 12% in 1972 to 27% in 1987 and 2002.

Another notable discovery is American attitudes towards pre- and extra-marital sex. Though the number who agree that "premarital sex is always wrong" has dropped significantly from 51% in 1972 to 36% in 2002 reflecting the more liberal trend we see on other social issues, more Americans than ever agree that "extra-marital sex is always wrong." In 1972, 82% held this view, and by 2002, 91% did.

Here are some additional highlights of our longitudinal comparison:

1972
1987
2002
Attitudes Concerning Race Relations
% who agree that "Blacks should not push themselves where they are not wanted"
71%
57%
38%
% who favor laws against interracial marriage
37%
24%
10%
Attitudes Concerning Women and Society
% who agree that "women are not as well-suited for politics as men"
48%
34%
23%
% who agree that "women should take care of the home, not the country"
36%
22%
8%
% who agree that "married women should work"
67%
80%
84%
Attitudes Concerning Gay Rights
% who agree that gays should be not be allowed to teach in the public schools
47%
40%
18%
% who agree that "freedom of speech should be limited for gays"
59%
51%
29%
% who agree that "homosexual relations are always wrong"
79%
80%
58%
% who agree that "books written by homosexuals should not be in libraries"
45%
40%
22%
Attitudes Regarding Government Spending
% who think we should spend less on the space program
62%
39%
38%
% who think we should spend less on national defense
39%
42%
21%
% who think we should spend less on foreign aid
78%
73%
62%
% who think we should spend less on welfare programs
50%
25%
23%
% who think we should spend less on big city problems
12%
27%
27%
Attitudes Regarding Sex Out of Wedlock
% who agree that "premarital sex is always wrong"
51%
40%
36%
% who agree that "extramarital sex is always wrong"
82%
88%
91%
Attitudes Towards Marijuana
% who agree that marijuana should remain illegal
82%
83%
61%

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Discovery of the Month
 

Why the Road Most Traveled by Retailers May Be a Dead End


After a terrible fall season and month after month of flat or declining same store sales, Old Navy, Gap, Inc.'s value brand, decided the time had come to address the situation. "There was nothing compelling about our product to make you drive to Old Navy," complained Sheryl Clark, Old Navy's EVP of merchandising, in a recent Wall Street Journal article. When Gap launched Old Navy in 1994, its mission to "bridge the divide between discounters and specialty stores," was a novel concept with few competitors, and the chain raked in $1 billion in sales in less than four years. But as H&M, Kohl's, Target, and, more recently, Wal-Mart have entered a similar arena with many of the same styles and offerings, the value end of the fashion retail spectrum that was once Old Navy's playground has gotten kind of crowded. So Old Navy has set off down the road frequented by many a retailer, making the move upscale.

Speaking of Wal-Mart, that chain's move into the world of upscale has received more than its fair share of media attention. With growth stagnating in 2004, Wal-Mart announced its intentions to woo more upscale shoppers in 2005 and started rolling out pricier, higher-quality items such as $50 400-thread count sheets, sponsored a fashion show, advertised in Vogue, and made a bid to buy fashonista Tommy Hilfiger's company. "Wal-Mart's focus will always be on less-affluent shoppers, but we need to widen our appeal to a broader range of customer," Wal-Mart's president and CEO Lee Scott told shareholders and employees a year ago this past June. In 2006, Wal-Mart began offering, among other things, trendier, higher quality clothing, top-shelf wine and liquor, organic foods, and even a new store concept complete with hardwood floors, a sushi bar, and employees outfitted, not in the famous blue apron, but polo shirts and khakis. "They have played price," commented marketing professor David Bell of the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School on Wal-Mart's new strategy. "Now they want to play quality and broaden their image."

This is not an uncommon situation—department stores, specialty retailers, grocery stores, restaurants all struggle with encroaching competition and keeping their offerings fresh to get and keep target customers buying from them. And the not uncommon response when competitors encroach and/or sales consistently suffer is to appeal to a wider set of customers. McDonald's offers upscale Newman's Own products, for instance, and Whole Foods, the high-end grocer that bares the nickname "Whole Paycheck," offers a value, private label line called "365 Everyday Value." For discount and middle-market retailers, this response typically means offering higher priced, higher quality (in theory anyways) merchandise in restyled stores to higher income customers. With their ability to buy more higher margin items, upper income consumers would appear an attractive target. However, while going upscale is an often tried response to stagnant growth at the lower-end of the market, it hasn't always proven true.

To quote the Wall Street Journal:

J.C. Penney Co., the quintessential middle-class merchant, ran into trouble a decade ago when it turned to pricier designer clothes and home furnishing that alienated customers. Last holiday season, Limited Brands Inc.'s Bath and Body Works unit suffered slumping sales as it struggled to determine the right mix of merchandise and promotions to convey its shift upscale. And Pier 1 Imports Inc., the home furnishing retailer, this year introduced sleeker products to combat discount operators, but the changes have yet to boost sales.

Add to this list Kmart which tried to go upscale by offering Martha Stewart, Kathy Ireland, and Jaclyn Smith lines of housewares and clothing only to file for bankruptcy and Zale Jewelers, "the self-proclaimed jeweler to Middle America," that recently scrapped its upscale strategy and dumped the CEO who suggested it after a financially disastrous year. It's not to say the move upscale is doomed to failure—J. Crew's turnaround and recent successful IPO is a direct result of going upscale, according to analysts anyways, and Best Buy's bid for upscale customers with its Magnolia store-within-a-store concept also appears to have made a positive contribution to revenues. But it's by no means a guaranteed cure-all to stagnant growth.

One problem is retailers often try to hedge their bets when they move upscale, bringing in new higher income buyers while maintaining their existing lower income customer base. Who was it that said in business, you can mean something to a few people, or nothing to everyone? Old Navy has stood for trendy fashion at reasonable prices, now it'll be trendy fashion at reasonable and higher prices. Wal-Mart was "always low prices," now it's "always low prices on some things, higher prices on others, but still a bit lower than the competition. And by the way, we're more stylish." If most marketing efforts are focused on appeals to the higher income set, lower income loyalists might see the changes as a sign that the company doesn't have anything to offer them any more. Meanwhile the new wealthier target has a perception of the company as lower end and wonders if it's really changed. As author Laura Ries commented on the subject, "you can't appeal to everybody. No brand can stand for everything."

There's also the issue of whether or not the move upscale offers any competitive advantage. Xavier Dreze, another Wharton marketing professor, says retailers need to ask, "if they sell high-end [goods], is there a competitive edge to that? Or will it make them just another retailer? That's the risk." In an unscientific poll of Old Navy shoppers in the office, most said they made purchases at Old Navy because they liked the lower prices. Yes, they knew the quality wasn't as good, but they didn't expect the cute and more trendier items they were purchasing would last forever—they weren't making an investment in a core wardrobe essential like a suit. Upon hearing about the move upscale, many echoed sentiments along these lines: "How are they going to be any different than an Ann Taylor Loft or some place like that?"

Why not test the hypothesis that the prospects for growth amongst an existing customer base are slim before making a brand-altering decision such as the move up-scale? Is there really nothing a retailer can do to get its core group of lower income buyers to purchase more higher margin items more often? Are higher income customers really more profitable? Or might they be so closed off to our brand that they aren't worth trying to convert? As Laura Ries rightly points out, "The notion that there are two types of customers, low end and high end, is a fallacy. The same customers will shop in different stores for different things at different price points on different occasions." To Ries' point, would better understanding the different occasions for which customers visit stores help improve merchandising, marketing, and therefore profitability? And really, does segmenting the customer base based on income, share of category business, and/or number of shopping visits enable you to understand the unique needs, wants, and problems of a particular group relative to others and the most effective means to reach them?

So many questions and, for most retailers, far too few answers. Yet given the high probability of failure with what in most cases appears to be a more or less arbitrarily selected "go upscale" strategy, they are questions worth answering.

For more insightful marketing discoveries, visit http://www.copernicusmarketing.com/discover/index.htm

Have a hot discovery for our next release? Contact us at info@copernicusmarketing.com

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What We're Reading Now
 

At the Top of Our Reading List....


Treasure Hunt: Inside the Mind of the New Consumer
By Michael J. Silverstein and John Butman (Portfolio Hardcover, May 4, 2006)


In a recent article, The Economist highlighted two trends "that appear to be, at first glance, at odds with each other. These are the tendencies for consumers to be more cost-conscious; but simultaneously more willing to splurge money on luxury items." Until the 1990s, according to the magazine, spending power directly translated into shopping choices—the rich bought luxury items, the middle-classed bought mid-priced, and the poor bought cheap. These days, however, the middle classes are more likely to go up or down market than stick to the middle.

Or so says Boston Consulting Group partner Michael Silverstein. In his previous book, Trading Up, Silverstein described the idea of "affordable luxury" and the success Starbucks, Coach, and other brands have had getting middle-class buyers to "trade-up" and treat themselves to a product or service with all the trappings of a luxury good save for the price. In Treasure Hunt, he and Butman work in the other direction, describing how the same middle class buyers are simultaneously bargain hunting in other categories. Full of case studies, the book explains how companies can and have successfully adapted to this trend.

Market New Products Successfully Using Simulated Test Marketing Technology
By Kevin Clancy and Peter C. Krieg (Lexington Books, October 2005)


Innovation remains an arduous and painful process for many companies, doing untold damage to brands, profitability, and careers. Some have used line extensions to mitigate risk, but all too often they have ended up extending the core brand into oblivion. Others have used test markets to help gauge opinion before a national rollout, only to have competitors snatch ideas and undermine results. Given the problems with conventional approaches, it's not surprising that 90% of new products and services fail.

Enter Market New Products Successfully, the definitive guidebook for using simulated test marketing (STM), a technology that can help companies dramatically improve the odds of introducing a successful new product or service. The book examines why STM is important, what the differences are between the major systems, how to do a simulation, and what insights it offers a marketing plan. Every marketer wants to improve the financial outcome of the innovation process and Market New Products Successfully shows how marketing science tools can make this possible.

 


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Coming Attractions  
 

Attention Direct-to-Consumer Pharmaceutical Marketers:
An Important Conference for Your Calendar


The DTC in the New Era-Uncertainty & Innovation Conference has one of the most compelling agendas we've seen this year on the topic of advertising pharmaceuticals to consumers. The conference will take place on October 25-26, 2006, at the Parsippany Sheraton in Parsippany, New Jersey. You can read more about the conference at http://www.dtcevents.com/.

Return on investment, the potential impact of legislation on DTC, and how pharmaceutical marketers are using new media options are among the critical issues on conference agenda. Copernicus' own Kevin Clancy will give a presentation on, "DTC ROI—How to Avoid Blowing $38 Million" on October 25 at 1:45 pm-2:15 pm, during which he'll share Copernicus' current findings on DTC program effectiveness and offer recommendations for how marketers can improve campaign performance.

For registration information, visit https://www.dtcnational.com/register/register_fall.asp.

 

 

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Copernicus-Marketing Consulting and Research  
 

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