Marketing Newsletter
June 2002
Industry Insights
Copernican Exploration  
Discovery of the Month
What We're Reading Now
Coming Attractions
Industry Insights

As SAB Swallows Miller, We Wonder If They Will Choke


South African Breweries (SAB)'s acquisition of Miller is a "transformational deal," explained SAB's chief executive Graham Mackay to analysts following the announcement of the merger deal between his company and an eager Philip Morris. Thanks to the deal SAB has catapulted itself from the #4 largest brewer by volume in the world to #2 and can now enter the giant U.S. market in a bigger way [it currently exports Pilsner Urquell]. An instant increase in volume and a shift in market strategy certainly represent significant changes for SAB, but whether or not the deal "transforms" the company in the long-term depends on its ability to reverse years of marketing neglect at Miller.

Once "the champagne of bottle beers," promising great taste and distinction, Miller long-ago dropped its original target and positioning and has for years given away market share to Budweiser. The company's worst performance in two decades, Miller's market share fell below 20% in 2001.

As one marketing strategy consultant observed to the Wall Street Journal, "Miller has made so many management and creative changes that consumers started to lose track of what Miller was supposed to stand for." With disastrous new product launches [Anyone remember clear beer—same great taste, without the color???], just plain stupid advertising campaigns, and complete ignorance to emerging consumer segments (e.g., Hispanics) and trends (e.g., "malternative" beverages), Miller whittled down the equity of powerhouse brands Miller Lite, Miller Genuine Draft, and Miller High Life to almost nothing, only to promise to reinvigorate marketing over and over again.

"It seems like we've been talking forever about marketing and getting additional ad time," a Miller wholesaler explained to BrandWeek. "But when you don't get the support and yet you have the distribution, there's a problem." There sure is, but, unfortunately, industry insiders seem to think SAB will focus on remaking the U.S. distribution system as their first order of business—just when Miller has finally gotten the distribution network in order after missteps by Philip Morris! As a further reflection of its operational focus, SAB has already started to tout its worldwide distribution system as the way to grow Miller.

We can only hope once the honeymoon is over, SAB realizes consumer demand, not distribution, is the problem with Miller. If no one wants to buy your products, greater availability isn't going to help much. Fixing the flailing brands will take more than an increase in the ad budget and the funny, but meaningless ad campaign currently running. It will take some serious work to give Miller's brands a new reason for being, but unless they do, SAB will choke on them, just like Philip Morris did.

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Copernican Exploration
 

New Product Forecasting Expert Greg McMahon Offers Insight Into Innovation


In spite of tough economic times, many companies still seem to have paid attention to the importance of innovation to stimulating real growth in the category, the industry, and for their brands. The CEO of Pfizer, for example, pointed to their new product hit Listerine PocketPaks—highly concentrated mouthwash on a dissolvable strip that has reinvigorated sales in the staid mouthwash market—as proof positive of their commitment to innovation. Likewise, Pepsi proclaimed innovation as its future when it announced Pepsi Blue, a new berry flavored line extension.

Great that companies are embracing innovation—as opposed to mergers and acquisitions or cost-cutting—but, with more than 90 percent of new products and services failing miserably, more needs to be done in the new product /service development area to avoid costly failures that waste precious resources. We sat down with Greg McMahon, a senior vice president at Market Facts and new product forecasting expert, to get his insights and advice on the new product development process and ways to improve it.

Copernicus Mzine: Looking back on some of the new product successes you have either been a part of or read about, what do you believe were the keys to success? How about the disasters, what were the common mistakes?

McMahon: The keys to new product or service success haven't changed in thirty years, perhaps longer; but achieving them seems to have become exceedingly more difficult. A successful new product fills an unsatisfied need that exists among a sizable portion of the population. The product is supported sufficiently so that it achieves strong levels of distribution and awareness. The differentiating benefits of the product are clearly communicated by its advertising, which helps consumers associate its message with its brand. The product delivers on its promise so that it generates favorable levels of trial and converts consumers that try the product into repeat purchasers.

If one of the common threads across new product successes is that they solve problems that existing products don't or they do so in a superior fashion, probably the most common mistake among the failures is introducing a product that is highly undifferentiated—a "me too" product.

Copernicus Mzine: Over the past 5 -10 years, have you noticed any differences in the way companies have approached new product development?

McMahon: One trend we see is a desire to "cut to the chase", that is, test and launch new products much more rapidly. There is a lot of merit to speed, but cutting too many corners increases the probability of failure. We have witnessed how "analysis paralysis" can elongate the time cycle for new product introductions. Often this results from exhaustive qualitative and quantitative research, including sequential testing and retesting of virtually every element in the marketing mix (positioning, product, price, name, advertising, etc.), after choosing from only a handful of new product ideas which are not necessarily the best to begin with.

Copernicus Mzine: Has the Internet changed the world of concept and product testing?

McMahon: Most definitely. Up until a few years ago, mail panel and mall intercept interviews were the standard data collection methods for this type of testing. The old "tried and true" methods have not gone away; the Internet has simply supplemented them.

Some have quickly adopted the Internet for most of their research, largely due to speed and cost benefits. Others are taking a more cautious stance, sometimes conducting parallel tests to ensure that differences observed in test results are linear. We think this makes a lot of sense. The Internet is a valuable new data collection tool, but like all tools it is not appropriate for every purpose.

Interestingly many marketers don't know that there are two broad types of Internet data collection methods—Internet databases and Internet panels. This distinction is important as only research firms with true Internet panels maintain detailed demographic (and other) information about their panel members and balance their samples so that they match U.S. Census statistics. This is crucial for achieving sample reliability. Without this there is a high risk that survey results will lack validity—in other words, not measure what they are supposed to—and reliability—in other words, study-to-study consistency.

Copernicus Mzine: If you could offer one piece of new product development advice to CEOs, what would it be?

McMahon: Make "new products" a specialized function within the organization that utilizes a continuous process to generate and objectively evaluate as many ideas as possible. All too often only a handful of ideas are considered. Judgment is used to narrow this list before marketing research even enters the picture. Tremendous time and effort is spent on "wordsmithing" mediocre—or worse—positionings and concepts in the hope of making them significantly more appealing.

When scores of ideas are considered the chances of finding a winner are so much greater. Also, companies are quicker to drop new product ideas that have little chance of success and investment gets channeled toward product ideas that have high potential.

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Discovery of the Month
 

Companies Aren't Taking the Name Game Very Seriously


Naming is important business—after all, it's an extremely complex process selecting the one word or words that will represent a product, service, brand, or company in different markets around the world. Choosing a name not only has marketing consequences, but also serious financial and legal implications. Unfortunately, many companies don't seem to be taking it very seriously, leaving a critical decision to creative "branding" firms, legal researchers, and focus groups to make.

Take PwC Consulting, one of the most prestigious management consulting firms on the planet and the latest casualty of the name game gone awry. To fully separate itself from its accounting arm, the firm recognized a name change was in order and recently announced that it is changing its name to "Monday." No, not on Monday—"Monday" is its new name.

Monday's CEO Greg Brenneman explained, "Our new name—Monday—is exactly what we want it to be as we create our new business: a real world, concise, recognizable, global and the right fit for a company that works to deliver results." Unfortunately, this cutesy and comical name—brought to PwC courtesy of branding firm Wolff Olins—is utterly inappropriate for a firm that had built a brand image as a serious, studious, thorough business advisor. It's certainly not global either, with linguistic and cultural differences in the spelling and connotations of Monday.

Eccentric names like "Monday" and avant-garde names such as "Verizon" and "Accenture" are becoming more common as the supply of unclaimed names have dwindled. Companies feel they have to push the envelope on creativity to come up with a moniker that's not only distinctive, but also available. So they create some new words or borrow old ones that haven't been used as a corporate title and do 4-6 focus groups to find out what people think of the different options. Some forgo focus groups all together, sticking with an internal committee, and go right to the legal research to see what's available and what isn't. Possibly a linguist comes in to evaluate the meanings of a word in other languages. If it's not taken or offensive—BOOM—we have a winner!

Unfortunately, like many other marketing decisions, the naming decision is often rushed and poorly planned so that if the focus or internal group's #1 choice from a list of alternatives is already taken or just too crazy, it's either too late or too expensive to figure out an alternative, let alone see what target buyers actually think about it. With only select feedback, respected firms end up with strange names and have to spend millions of dollars to explain what their new name is and get people to remember what it is that they do. Some eventually dump it all together. The CEO of Consignia, the much ballyhooed new name for Britain's Royal Post and Mail, for instance, wants very much to drop "Consignia" for the "Royal Mail" even after investing significant money to develop and select Consignia.

Naming is far too important—and expensive—a decision to be left to the whims of creative genius, focus groups, or internal committees. The way companies are approaching naming needs to change, otherwise, we'll end up with far to many Mondays.

For more insightful marketing discoveries, visit http://www.copernicusmarketing.com/discover/index.htm

Have a hot discovery for our next release? Contact us at info@copernicusmarketing.com

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What We're Reading Now
 
The Copernican Summer/Winter Reading List

Depending on whether you are in the northern or southern hemisphere, you have the warm breezes of summer ahead or the "cooler" months of winter to look forward to. Either way, we're sure curling up with a good book is on your agenda, so we asked the Copernicus Board of Advisors, sixteen of the leading thinkers in the field of marketing today, for their suggestions for enlightening summer/winter reading. Here is their list of books that will impact you both professionally and personally:

A Big Life in Advertising
By Mary Lawrence Wells (Knopf, May 2002)
An exciting insiders look at the world of advertising from the 50s through the 80s from someone who worked on some of the most memorable ad campaigns in history.

A New Kind of Science
By Stephen Wolfram (Wolfram Media, May 2002)

A thought-provoking book about a "bottom-up" approach to understanding complexity.

Driving Customer Equity
By Roland Rust, Valarie Zeithaml, and Kay Lemon (Free Press, June 2000)
Driving Customer Equity represents the future of marketing. The book provides a comprehensive description of a new financially accountable strategic framework for making better marketing decisions.

e-Service
Edited by Roland Rust and P.K. Kannan (M.E. Sharpe, June 2002)
An interesting book that explores e-commerce from the customer's point of view.

Hoover's Vision: Original Thinking for Business Success
By Gary Hoover (Texere, October 2001)

A highly readable book that makes readers think about a lot of important ideas they otherwise wouldn't think about.

Marketing Moves
By Philip Kotler (Harvard Business School Press, 2002)

This book offers a holistic paradigm for planning and implementing successful marketing strategies in the New Economy.

Nickel and Dimed: On (Not) Getting By in America
By Barbara Ehrenreich (Metropolitan Books, May 2001)

A wonderfully written book that exposes readers to the daily rigors and humiliations of people who work hard serving others for very little money.




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Copernicus provides innovative marketing consulting services to improve business performance. Led by Dr. Kevin J. Clancy and Peter C. Krieg, the firm's practice areas include marketing auditing; marketing strategy development; marketing planning; guided implementation; and marketing performance evaluation.