Marketing Newsletter
October/November 2007
Industry Insights
Copernican Exploration  
Discovery of the Month
What We're Reading Now
Coming Attractions
Industry Insights

Attention Marketing Researchers
You Can Get Marketers To Eat Their Spinach


Marketers and marketing researchers are about as close to a consistently productive working relationship as Democrats and Republicans. As Advertising Age recently reported, "Just as marketers often don't understand research, the researchers often don't understand why they're doing it." Bob Barocci, CEO of the Advertising Research Foundation (ARF), explained, "There is a general belief [among researchers] that over 50% of the research done at companies is wasted. They're asked to do things that, even if the research project is perfect, won't be useful." Yet he admits researchers aren't helping their cause: "Often all we do is present numbers."

The current situation is not a recent phenomenon. Going back almost a half century ago, the pioneering consumer behaviorist Joseph Newman warned about the looming conflict between marketing managers and marketing researchers, attributing at least some of the tension to the anxiety managers feel that their experience and judgment will get short-shrift when research is available. Just about 15 years ago now, Professors Christine Moorman, Gerald Zaltman, and Rohit Deshpande pointed to "current low levels of trust exhibited by marketing managers toward their research colleagues." The combination of uncertainty and distrust didn't do much for fact-based marketing. As BusinessWeek reported at the time, the effects of it include, "minimizing the role of research in decision making."

No matter what industry you're in, it's a complex, complicated, ever-changing world out there—markets and media are fragmenting, paradigms are shifting, buyers have ever-changing needs, etc., etc. The situation screams for research, data, information, insights that can enable decision-makers—whatever their area of focus—to better respond, adapt, sell, and deliver their stuff. Yet like kids and spinach, marketers might know research is good for them, but it's not enough to get them to eat it. Indeed, just as they did fifteen years ago, "marketers generally distrust research and data," according to Ad Age. As a result, "market researchers are as unimportant as ever....Like moguls with trophy wives, marketers keep collecting them and keep ignoring them."

We've seen evidence that marketers agree research is good for decision-making in principle, but not in practice again and again:

  • According to a 2006 Copernicus and Brandweek study, just 5% of senior marketers feel their organizations spend too much money on marketing research and analysis—in other words a whopping 95% think they are spending the right amount or not enough. Fifty-eight percent also said their organization needs to conduct more quantitative research studies that we do today. Yet Jack Honomichl, the preeminent source of information on the marketing research industry, reported that 2006 was a below average year for the marketing research industry, with eight of the Top 50 firms experiencing a decline in revenue from work in the U.S. or did not grow enough to cover the rate of inflation.

  • The Copernicus/Brandweek study also found that while 67% of senior marketers agree that "although large scale quantitative studies take a lot of time and money, they really improve decision making," 66% also say they "feel very confident making marketing decisions based on my own sense of what our customers will respond to."

  • An IEG/Performance Research Sponsorship Decision-Makers Survey found "sponsor spending on research to determine the impact of partnerships lagged behind the lip service typically paid to wanting to measure ROI." In fact, only one-quarter of marketers spend more than one percent of their rights fees—what they pay to do the sponsorship in the first place—on research. A startling 81 percent did not have a dedicated budget for either evaluating opportunities or measuring results.

  • The founder of a Boston nonprofit that provides emergency transportation came to us with a concept for a new service his organization planned to offer. He emphasized repeatedly throughout our meeting that he had a group of investors who wanted to ensure the concept would fly, that supporting marketing campaign was on target and impactful. He said he wanted research to guide the launch process, to improve the odds of success, and reassure his investors. We sent a proposal, had a few more conversations, then got the call that the firm had decided to go ahead. The founder felt strongly they had a good idea, a good plan, and felt comfortable enough launching commercials in three markets to see what happened. [As an aside, the commercials ran, few responded, the organization wasted time and money, and the idea died, not to be revived.]

Now marketers at this point are getting pretty set in their attitudes towards doing and using marketing research. "It's becoming harder and harder to get people's attention to do research," or so summed-up Tony Palmer, Kimberly-Clark's CMO. And unfortunately marketing researchers haven't exactly done a bang-up job of trying to move up the food chain. Ad Age reported one ploy some have used: "researchers have sought to fix that image by no longer calling research by its old, academic sounding name." The magazine notes a popular moniker today is consumer or buyer or brand "insights." "I can't stand the term 'market research,"' a director of consumer and market insights for Unilever told Ad Age. "I don't consider myself a market researcher at all. I really consider myself a marketer, which is why I like the [insights] title."

Well, maybe it's true that at this point, "marketing researcher" has accumulated so much negative press as far the mainstream marketing profession is concerned, that a title change is indeed in order. But if it's just a different day with a different title, but no other radical shift in thinking about what added value research brings or, more importantly, how to deliver this added value so it's clear it's an actual VALUE, then it's not going to work. If you just move spinach from one side of the plate to the other, the kid still isn't going to eat it.

We very often work with the research folks—either directly or indirectly—at companies and have observed three more-than-skin-deep changes researchers have made in their mindset and approach to working with marketing that are working in bringing together principle and practice, and improving their status, credibility—not to mention job security—in the process:

1) More than just the facts, ma'm. "Currently, few technological reasons (and still fewer in the near future) prevent a company from obtaining timely, valid, and reliable information relevant to the most important problems," as Moorman et al. wrote 15 years ago. As the director of consumer and market insights for Unilever put it, the research industry is "this huge industry of billions of dollars that anyone basically can do." So take it as a given that anyone can be a bean counter—collect the data, do the analysis, present the facts—what's going to make the difference is going beyond just reporting the facts.

2) Actions speak louder. Listen to what marketers are saying: they aren't kvetching that they can't get the research; they're snarking about not getting research they can use. As futurist John Naisbitt might have said, marketers are more often than not, "drowning in information and starved for knowledge." Or as the senior director of consumer insights and intelligence for Motorola told Marketing News: "It's one thing to look at data and tell me that it's statistically valid, and it's another thing to also make sense." For it to make sense, marketing researchers have to translate data and insights for marketers into the language of marketing strategy or tactical programs.

3) Do your best Willy Loman. At this point in time, it's pretty safe to say that marketers are, at best, on the fence that what marketing researchers can offer is a route to better performing programs and, just as importantly, profitability. They need to be sold on the idea. We're hearing a growing number of researchers at organizations tell us that the biggest part of their job these days is "selling in" the information to "their clients," their colleagues in marketing. Making the business case—showing hard evidence of a market opportunity, profit potential of a particular segment, financial impact of a new profit concept—is a particularly compelling way we've seen to quickly win over marketers.

Remember the words of strategy guru Michael Porter and high-powered consultant Victor Millar who predicted, "sustainable competitive advantage will depend less on who has the information and increasingly on who is able to make the best use of the information." What seems to be missing in many organizations today is not data, information, and insights, but some important "how to's"—how to use it, how to apply it, how to interpret it, how to bring it to life, how to tell if it's any good (see Mzine Extra below for five ways marketers can tell if research is any good), etc. It takes an understanding of needs, wants, and motivations—along with some creativity—to get a kid to eat his or her least favorite vegetable. Marketing researchers would do well to take the same approach with their marketing colleagues.

Mzine Extra:
Five Ways Marketers Can Tell If Research Is Any Good

Just as senior managers need not be accountants to understand the principles and lessons of the profit-and-loss statement, balance sheet, and cash-flow budget, neither do they need to be statisticians to understand the principles and lessons of fact-based marketing research.

The principles for any valid, replicable, projectable research study are the same.

  1. Survey a population that represents the total universe as defined by the company. Whether your market is women who might be interested in a new health club, food-store decision makers responsible for shopping carts, or homemakers who buy ground coffee, ensure that your sample represents the population. For example, an internet survey that is not weighted to control for bias is not representative of any population other than people willing to participate in internet surveys. It understates the proportion of the market who are not connected (i.e., minorities) and people who have neither the time nor the interest in cooperating with survey researchers (i.e., busy executives, hassled moms, professionals in general). In such cases, you must take care to recruit these under represented groups into the study and to weight different types of buyers into their correct proportions in the population.

  2. Sample enough people within this universe so that their responses are reasonably stable. Interview 500, for example, and any percentage that you get is stable plus or minus about 5 percent. Interview only 50 people, and the wobble in your data increases to a point at which it is relatively unusable. This is particularly important when you are looking to break down your total sample into subgroups such as users versus nonusers, men versus women, high income versus low income, and the like.

  3. Test the questionnaire to ensure that respondents understand what is being asked and are not being prompted to answer one way or another. This is called pretesting and is something that is becoming more and more rare in marketing research studies.

  4. Conduct experiments within your survey wherever it makes sense. Expose half the sample to one new product concept, the other half to another. Show respondents three different price levels. Expose people to four different positionings.

  5. Analyze the responses in a way that makes logical sense. Don't confuse correlation with causation; just because one thing is related to another does not mean that the first caused the second.

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Copernican Exploration
 

Career Advice for CMOs:
Get Yourself Back Into the Conversation


The tenure for the CMO at the top 100 leading consumer companies today is 26.8 months, according to Spencer Stuart, an executive recruiting firm that reports on how many minutes America's top marketers have left every year. Notably, for the first time since it started keeping tabs on the average length of stay three years ago, the number INCREASED in 2007. But don't get too excited. Not only was it a pretty paltry rise of 3.8 months, but the recent exodus of veteran top dogs from the marketing departments of big companies has likely wreaked a bit of havoc on the running average. Some recent examples: Yahoo's CMO Cammie Dunaway, almost five years on the job, gone to "another opportunity;" Nissan's VP of marketing Jan Thompson, three years in her role, saying syonara; AFLAC's Jeffrey Herbert, a year on the job, stepped down; and Home Depot's marketing officer Roger Adams, a year on the job, off to "pursue other interests." You get the picture.

Now, everyone and their uncle seem to have a ready reason of why marketing's top jobs rest on such shaky ground. First there's the bullseye resting on the practice in general: "Marketing is so visible, and because everyone feels they can understand what marketing does, it becomes an easy target for people to point to," to quote former Wal-Mart ad chief Julie Roehm. Next there's generalized misunderstanding of what goes into marketing: "Marketing is a complex combination of art and science that requires ruthless pursuit of strategy and tremendous flexibility of execution depending on marketing conditions. There are a lot more CEOs from a financial background that don't know that," says Ian Beavis, VP of marketing for Kia Motors. There's that accountability thing. According to Ad Age, "Marketing is a chronic corporate scapegoat, since its success is hard to measure." There's also the great CEO divide. From the co-parent of positioning Al Ries: "From General Electric Co. in New York to the Walt Disney Co. in Los Angeles, a velvet curtain has descended across the country separating marketing from management." We could go on and on, but clearly the underlying message is marketing's got a big image problem on many fronts.

Still, it's not entirely beyond the control of CMOs to give themselves some job traction. In a much vaunted blog entry a few months ago, CEO of the Association of National Advertisers Bob Liodice suggested that today, "CEOs understand that the pathway to higher shareholder value is through the marketing department's door." We'd say this is more an aspirational statement than a factual one at this point. CEO's generally aren't turning to marketing when sales are lagging, they are turning to their accountants to find ways to cut costs and their operations folks to streamline manufacturing, stores, etc., long before going to the CMO for advice. So if CMOs want to buy themselves a little more time and, simultaneously, turn the conventional wisdom that they lead a function of secondary importance on its ear, they need to get themselves back into the conversation. And in this case, actions speak much louder than words.

How to do that? Let's take Roger Adam's departure from Home Depot as an illustration. In her coverage of the announced departure, Ad Age reporter Mya Frazier wrote, "But with Home Depot's back-to-basics shift that focuses on the most basic tenet of marketing—superior in-store service—some industry watchers argue that the retailer may simply not need a superstar CMO anymore." "Why should they pay this guy a lot of money since they can't do a lot of marketing until they get the operations fixed?" asked a recruiter at Boyden Global Executive Search. "I also wouldn't be surprised if they are in no hurry to replace him until they get close to fixing the operational problems." While we'd agree that superstar status is no indication of talent—think Hollywood, think Tom Cruise—to say there's no real need for strong marketing leadership in an operational makeover is ridiculous.

Who would be fixing operations but operations folks who know their operations but likely don't know nearly enough about what customers like, want, need, etc., from an in-store experience when it comes to service to consider it exceptional. And what customers should they be worrying about anyway? Try to appeal to everyone and you get a watered down (i.e., not particularly differentiating), mostly cost- or efficiency-driven version of the "exceptional in-store experience." By all accounts, operations by operations people is what got Home Depot into trouble in the first place. Much of the operational side of the business will remain behind the scenes, away from customer view, as it should, yet the ultimate "product" or capability is something that impacts customers' affinity for the brand and purchase probability in some way. Knowledge of which customer types represent the highest potential return on investment in terms of metrics that matter to the firm and what their service needs are—the kind of information the marketing chief (at least in theory) brings to the conversation—is absolutely essential to getting the Depot going again. Our message to John Ross, Roger Adam's interim successor: Get in there, John!

Top marketers can kvetch all they want about why the clock is always ticking on their time at a company. It isn't fair and it isn't right, but to get behind Ries' "velvet curtain" we can't fight the injustice of it all with words alone. We marketers talk a lot about being the "voice of the customer" but then we don't speak unless spoken to...or just keep our thoughts to ourselves. CMOs would do themselves a great service if they didn't wait for the thumbs up from management to go talk to the operations folks, sales guys, etc. Treat other critical functions as internal clients, bring them relevant, usable information, and work with them to understand how it should impact the decisions they are making, and you'll stop the sands through the hour glass in their tracks.

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Discovery of the Month
 

Do You Start Every Conversation with Litany of What Ails You?
A Behavioral and Attitudinal Comparison of People Who Say They Are NOT in Excellent Health vs. Those Who Say They Are


When the going gets tough at work or at home, when there's nothing left for friends to say to make you feel better, the old stand-by phrase comes out: "At least you have your health." But only about half of Americans would concede this point, no matter their age. Fifty-eight percent of adults ages 30 to 55 report they are, in fact, NOT in excellent health. Interestingly, though you'd expect to see more baby boomers responding in the negative when asked about their health—physical health tends to decline with age, or so conventional wisdom holds—the average age among those who say they are not in excellent health and those that say they are differs by less than half a year.

So what does your attitude about your health say about you and your outlook on other aspects of your life? We decided to take a closer look.

Those less buoyant about their physical condition watch nearly double the amount of TV as their more optimistic counterparts (4.1 hours per day vs. 2.3). Their total family income is also somewhat lower and they have fewer years of formal education on average. Not surprisingly, the folks who say they are in a bad way report less marital and job satisfaction and fewer agree they are generally happy with life: 70% of married respondents say they have a happy marriage compared to 86% of married people in the excellent health group; 64% report satisfaction with their jobs vs. 79% of the other folks; and just over half—52%—say they are generally happy with life in contrast to 68% of the other group. Interestingly, those with a more negative attitude about their health are more open to assisted suicide if a person has no hope of recovery (21% vs. 9 %) and hold a more traditional view of women's role in the family—53% agree that it's better for everyone if the wife does not work outside the home vs. 32% for the excellent health group.

Meanwhile, nearly half of the people who say they are in excellent health read the newspaper everyday (47%) compared to less than a third of people who say that are NOT in excellent health (28%). Perhaps there's something to the power of prayer after all—38% of those with a positive view of their health report praying at least once a day contrasted with 22% of people in the less-high-on-their-health group. A lower percentage of folks with a positive outlook on their well-being seem to have an altruistic streak—just 59% agree well-off people should help the less fortunate compared to 72% of their more pessimistic counterparts.

Here are some of the other discriminating characteristics that we found:

Key Discriminating Traits
People who say they are NOT in excellent health
People who say they are in excellent health
Total family income
$51,000
$61,000
Years of formal education
13.2
15.1
# hours of TV watched per day
4.1
2.3
% who agree that well off people should help the less fortunate
72%
59%
% of married respondents who say they have a happy marriage
70%
86%
% who are satisfied with job
64%
79%
% respondents who believe most people will take advantage of others when given the chance
53%
32%
% respondents who say they are generally happy with life
52%
68%
% respondents who say that it's better for everyone if the wife does not work outside the home
37%
21%
% who read the newspaper everyday
28%
47%
% respondents who pray at least once a day
22%
38%
% who say that patient suicide is okay if the person has no hope of recovery
21%
9%
% who agree that the world is basically good vs. evil
14%
35%

*Analysis for this profile was conducted by Alex Gamse

For more insightful marketing discoveries, visit http://www.copernicusmarketing.com/discover/index.htm

Have a hot discovery for our next release? Contact us at info@copernicusmarketing.com

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What We're Reading Now
 

At the Top of Our Reading List....


Your Gut Is Still Not Smarter Than Your Head
By Kevin Clancy and Peter Krieg (Wiley, April 2007)


Read the book that was a top-seller in September!

Your Gut Is Still Not Smarter Than Your Head paves the way for anyone in business—Fortune 500 CMO, mid-cap company CEO, or small business owner alike—to make better, more profitable marketing decisions. Intuition and creativity certainly have their place in marketing—as they do in any other business decision area. But programs that return 20% or more on investment come from a careful balance of intuition and fact.

Listen to Kevin Clancy talk about the book on a recent AMA radio show:

Kevin Clancy Talks About Great Market Segmentation and Targeting on Marketing Matters Live!, Part I

Kevin Clancy Talks About Great Market Segmentation and Targeting on Marketing Matters Live!, Part II 

Look for more on Your Gut Is Still Not Smarter Than Your Head on www.useyourheadnow.com or visit Amazon.com, barnesandnoble.com, 800CEORead.com for order information.

Forces for Good: The Six Practices of High-Impact Nonprofits
By Leslie Crutchfield and Heather McLeod Grant (Jossey-Bass October 19, 2007)

Force for Good book cover

We've been working with a number of non-profit organizations recently, so when we came across this book, we just had to pick it up. There is so much competition out there for non-profits these days—for fundraising dollars, for corporate sponsorship dollars, for attention from public officials and the like. How on earth does a social change or charitable organization stand-out from the 1.5 million other non-profits in the U.S.? The authors picked case studies and synthesized their learnings into six "counterintuitive" (their word) practices that helped them become "greater forces for good."

Grapevine: The New Art of Word-of-Mouth Marketing
By Dave Balter and John Butman (Portfolio 2005)

Grapevine book cover

Word-of-mouth marketing is always a hot topic at industry conferences as marketers try to figure out how to tap into and encourage this hugely influential form of advertising for products and services. Dave Balter, founder of amplified word-of-mouth marketing firm BzzAgent, and his co-author offer their personal overview of good ways to approach word-of-mouth, perspectives on ethics and what works/what doesn't, and lots of examples with real brands. The authors definitely have an opinion on the topic—you know us, we like people with opinions—and their lively account also includes an attempt to quantify the effects of campaigns.


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Coming Attractions  
 

Upcoming Talks and Current Hot Topics


If you happen to be in the Boston area on November 6, keep your lunch calendar clear.

Have a sandwich and hear Copernicus' own Kevin Clancy give a talk for the Boston Chapter of the American Marketing Association at 11:30 am to 1:30 pm at the Newton Marriott, Newton, MA, located about 15 minutes from downtown Boston.

As always, Kevin has a fun and informative talk planned. He's calling this one, "A Three-Step Program for Eliminating Marketing Performance Anxiety," and with plenty of humor and lots of anecdotes describe how marketers can lead healthier, more balanced professional lives with a mix of intuition, judgment, and experience and data, information, insights.

For registration information, visit: http://www.amaboston.org/html/Events_142.htm

Check out the Copernicus newsroom for our thoughts on marketing hot topics such as getting market segmentation off the B-list of research exercises marketers call on for help and patching up the relationship between sales and marketing.

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Copernicus-Marketing Consulting and Research  
 

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Copernicus is in the business of transforming companies. We offer state-of-the-science consulting, research, and modeling tools to help clients develop, plan, and implement the kind of marketing strategies that change brand trajectories, career paths, even entire companies and industries. For more about Copernicus, visit our award-winning website, www.copernicusmarketing.com.